Where the market is wrong on Shimizu S-pulse v JEF United Chiba
Shimizu S-pulse meet JEF United Chiba in the J1 League regular season - 8 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.
The baseline ratings are close, 1454 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Shimizu S-pulse, 43% against 25%. Attacking output favors Shimizu S-pulse on expected goals, 1.0 to 1.0 per match.
Shimizu S-pulse arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Avispa Fukuoka, L 1-3 @ Kawasaki Frontale, D 1-1 v FC Tokyo, L 0-1 v Kashiwa Reysol.
JEF United Chiba are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Tokyo Verdy, W 2-0 @ Kamatamare Sanuki, W 2-0 v Gamba Osaka, L 1-2 v Fagiano Okayama.
The market prices SHI at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on JEF United Chiba: a 6.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output