Where the market is wrong on Dubočica v Borac Cacak
Dubočica meet Borac Cacak in the Prva Liga regular season - 5.
Borac Cacak rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1684 to 1400. Recent form leans Borac Cacak, 75% against 33%. Attacking output favors Borac Cacak on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 35%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Borac Cacak at 69%; double chance reads Dubočica or draw 51%, Borac Cacak or draw 78%.
Dubočica arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Borac Cacak, L 1-2 @ OFK Vršac, W 3-2 @ Naftagas, D 0-0 v Loznica.
Borac Cacak are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Dubočica, W 2-1 v Naftagas, W 3-2 @ Loznica, W 1-0 v FK Vozdovac.
The market prices DUB at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on Borac Cacak: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 67 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
