Kyoto Sanga v Mito Hollyhock

Kyoto Sanga meet Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League regular season - 3 at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka.

The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 30%. Attacking output favors Kyoto Sanga on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 52%, over 2.5 goals around 48%. Draw no bet leans Kyoto Sanga at 52%; double chance reads Kyoto Sanga or draw 67%, Mito Hollyhock or draw 64%.

Kyoto Sanga arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Maruyasu Okazaki, L 1-3 v Mito Hollyhock, D 2-2 @ Kawasaki Frontale, L 1-2 @ V-varen Nagasaki.

Mito Hollyhock are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Kyoto Sangyo University, W 3-1 @ Kyoto Sanga, D 1-1 v Gamba Osaka, L 1-2 @ Kashiwa Reysol.

Mito Hollyhock hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kyoto Sanga 1-3 Mito Hollyhock.

The market prices KYO at 43% implied. Our number sits apart on Mito Hollyhock: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.