Auxerre v Angers: the model read
Auxerre meet Angers in the Ligue 1 regular season - 2 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre.
The baseline ratings are close, 1509 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Auxerre, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Auxerre on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.1 per match.
Auxerre arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Angers, L 2-5 @ Lens, W 1-0 @ Werder Bremen, D 1-1 v Estac Troyes.
Angers are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 @ Auxerre, L 0-2 v Lille, W 3-2 v Paris FC, W 2-1 v Lorient.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Auxerre 1-3 Angers.
The market prices AUX at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Angers: a 2.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
