Where the market is wrong on Sparta Rotterdam v PEC Zwolle
Sparta Rotterdam meet PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie regular season - 5 at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 33%. Attacking output favors Sparta Rotterdam on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.
Sparta Rotterdam arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Excelsior, D 3-3 v Utrecht, W 3-1 @ Telstar, L 0-1 v Feyenoord.
PEC Zwolle are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 4 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v NEC Nijmegen, W 2-0 @ Heerenveen, L 1-3 @ Twente, L 0-2 v Ajax.
Sparta Rotterdam hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 PEC Zwolle.
The market prices SPA at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on PEC Zwolle: a 6.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
