Where the market is wrong on Vitesse v Jong PSV U21
Vitesse meet Jong PSV U21 in the Eerste Divisie regular season - 7 at GelreDome, Arnhem.
Vitesse rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1592 to 1443. Recent form leans Vitesse, 63% against 40%. Attacking output favors Vitesse on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Vitesse arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Jong PSV U21, L 0-1 @ Roda, W 2-1 v FC OSS, W 4-1 @ Den Bosch.
Jong PSV U21 are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Vitesse, D 1-1 v Jong AZ, L 1-3 @ Helmond Sport, W 3-1 v Den Bosch.
Vitesse hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitesse 3-1 Jong PSV U21.
The market prices VIT at 59% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 7.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
