Where the market is wrong on Puntarenas FC v Perez Zeledon
Puntarenas FC meet Perez Zeledon in the Primera División apertura - 5 at Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy, Puntarenas.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Puntarenas FC, 40% against 28%. Attacking output favors Puntarenas FC on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 40%. Draw no bet leans Puntarenas FC at 59%; double chance reads Puntarenas FC or draw 72%, Perez Zeledon or draw 60%.
Puntarenas FC arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Perez Zeledon, L 1-2 @ LD Alajuelense, L 0-2 v Deportivo Saprissa, D 1-1 v Sporting San Jose.
Perez Zeledon are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Puntarenas FC, L 0-1 v Inter San Carlos, D 0-0 @ Escorpiones Belén, W 1-0 v CS Cartagines.
Puntarenas FC hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Puntarenas FC 1-0 Perez Zeledon.
The market prices PUN at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
