Where the market is wrong on Struga v Aresimi
Struga meet Aresimi in the First League regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 53%. Attacking output favors Struga on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.7 per match.
Struga arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 23 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 6-0 v Aresimi, D 2-2 @ Tikveš, W 1-0 v Sileks, W 10-1 @ Pobeda Valandovo.
Aresimi are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 14 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 12-0 @ Mogila, L 0-6 @ Struga, D 2-2 v Shkendija, L 0-2 @ Vardar Skopje.
Struga hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Struga 6-0 Aresimi.
The market prices STR at 75% implied. Our number sits apart on Aresimi: a 15.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
