Where the market is wrong on Club America v Puebla
Club America meet Puebla in the Liga MX apertura - 6 at Estadio Banorte, Mexico City.
Club America rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1638 to 1400. Recent form leans Club America, 70% against 33%. Attacking output favors Club America on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Club America arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 11 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Monterrey, W 2-0 v Puebla, W 2-0 v Columbus Crew, W 2-1 @ FC Juarez.
Puebla are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Club America, W 3-2 v Santos Laguna, W 3-2 @ CF Pachuca, L 2-3 @ San Diego.
Club America hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Club America 2-0 Puebla.
The market prices CLU at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Puebla: a 4.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
