Where the market is wrong on Santa Fe v Millonarios
Santa Fe meet Millonarios in the Primera A clausura - 16.
The baseline ratings are close, 1611 to 1555, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Santa Fe, 69% against 59%. Attacking output favors Millonarios on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Santa Fe arrive steady: 1W-4D-0L from their last five (7/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 4 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Junior, D 1-1 @ River Plate, D 0-0 v America de Cali, D 0-0 v River Plate.
Millonarios are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Internacional de Bogota, W 2-0 @ Llaneros, D 1-1 @ Águilas Doradas, W 2-0 v Deportivo Pasto.
Millonarios hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Millonarios 1-1 Santa Fe.
The market prices SAN at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Santa Fe: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 63 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
