Where the market is wrong on Cusco v UCV Moquegua
Cusco meet UCV Moquegua in the Primera División clausura - 8 at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 45%. Attacking output favors Cusco on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.0 per match.
Cusco arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cienciano, L 1-4 @ Deportivo Garcilaso, W 2-0 v Juan Pablo II College, L 1-3 @ Comerciantes Unidos.
UCV Moquegua are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Alianza Atletico, L 0-2 @ ADT, W 2-0 @ Sport Huancayo, D 1-1 v Sport Boys.
Cusco hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: UCV Moquegua 1-2 Cusco.
The market prices CUS at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on UCV Moquegua: a 24.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
