Where the market is wrong on HNK Gorica v NK Varazdin
HNK Gorica meet NK Varazdin in the HNL regular season - 7 at Gradski stadion Velika Gorica, Velika Gorica.
NK Varazdin rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1454. Recent form leans NK Varazdin, 78% against 40%. Attacking output favors NK Varazdin on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
HNK Gorica arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v NK Varazdin, W 3-1 @ Uskok Klis, L 0-1 @ Dinamo Zagreb, D 0-0 v HNK Rijeka.
NK Varazdin are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ HNK Gorica, W 4-0 @ Zagora, D 0-0 v Istra 1961, W 2-0 v Rudes.
NK Varazdin hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: HNK Gorica 2-2 NK Varazdin.
The market prices HNK at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on NK Varazdin: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
