Where the market is wrong on NK Varazdin v Istra 1961
NK Varazdin meet Istra 1961 in the HNL regular season - 6 at Gradski stadion Varazdin, undefined.
NK Varazdin rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1489. Recent form leans NK Varazdin, 70% against 50%. Attacking output favors NK Varazdin on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
NK Varazdin arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Istra 1961, W 2-0 v Rudes, L 1-3 @ Dinamo Zagreb, W 2-0 v HNK Rijeka.
Istra 1961 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ NK Varazdin, D 2-2 v Dinamo Zagreb, L 2-3 @ HNK Rijeka, W 3-0 v NK Slaven Belupo.
The market prices NK at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Istra 1961: a 7.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
