Where the market is wrong on NK Osijek v NK Slaven Belupo
NK Osijek meet NK Slaven Belupo in the HNL regular season - 5 at Opus Arena, Osijek.
NK Osijek rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1558 to 1400. Recent form leans NK Osijek, 55% against 28%. Attacking output favors NK Slaven Belupo on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
NK Osijek arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v NK Slaven Belupo, L 0-4 @ HNK Hajduk Split, W 1-0 v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, W 6-1 @ Rudes.
NK Slaven Belupo are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ NK Osijek, W 2-0 v HNK Gorica, L 0-3 @ Istra 1961, L 1-4 v NK Varazdin.
The market prices NK at 60% implied. Our number sits apart on NK Slaven Belupo: a 11.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
