Where the market is wrong on Ibrachina U20 v Desportivo Brasil U20
Ibrachina U20 meet Desportivo Brasil U20 in the Paulista - U20 regular season - 13.
Ibrachina U20 rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1546. Recent form leans Ibrachina U20, 78% against 55%. Attacking output favors Ibrachina U20 on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Ibrachina U20 at 62%; double chance reads Ibrachina U20 or draw 73%, Desportivo Brasil U20 or draw 56%.
Ibrachina U20 arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Desportivo Brasil U20, L 0-2 @ São Paulo U20, L 0-1 v Santo André U20, W 1-0 @ SC Paulinense SP U20.
Desportivo Brasil U20 are steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 10 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ibrachina U20, D 1-1 v EC São Bernardo U20, D 1-1 @ Velo Clube U20, W 7-1 v Aguai U20.
The market prices IBR at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Desportivo Brasil U20: a 10.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output