Vitoria v Atletico Paranaense: the model read
Vitoria meet Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Do Brasil round of 16 at Barradao, Salvador.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 57%. Attacking output favors Vitoria on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Vitoria arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Atletico-MG, L 0-1 @ Vasco DA Gama, L 0-2 v Bahia, W 1-0 v Botafogo.
Atletico Paranaense are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 4 unbeaten), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Fluminense, W 3-2 @ Botafogo, D 1-1 v RB Bragantino, W 2-0 @ Santos.
Atletico Paranaense hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Vitoria 4-0 Atletico Paranaense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
