Moldova v Bulgaria: the model read
Moldova meet Bulgaria in the Friendlies friendly international at Stadionul Zimbru, Chisinau.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 30% against 38%. Attacking output favors Bulgaria on expected goals, 1.1 to 0.9 per match.
Moldova arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 6 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Armenia, D 2-2 v Bulgaria, L 2-3 @ Cyprus, L 0-2 v Lithuania.
Bulgaria are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 15 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Moldova, L 0-1 v Montenegro, W 1-0 @ Indonesia, W 10-2 @ Solomon Islands.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Moldova 2-2 Bulgaria.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
