Sweden v Tunisia

Sweden meet Tunisia in the World Cup group stage - 1 at Estadio BBVA, Monterrey.

The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 45%. Attacking output favors Sweden on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.

Sweden arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.

Tunisia are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Netherlands, L 0-4 v Japan, L 1-5 @ Sweden, L 0-5 @ Belgium.

Sweden hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Sweden 5-1 Tunisia.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.