Kenya v Estonia: the model read
Kenya meet Estonia in the FIFA Series semi-finals at Stade Amahoro, Kigali.
Kenya rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1573 to 1408. Recent form leans Kenya, 60% against 35%. Attacking output favors Kenya on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.9 per match.
Kenya arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 9 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Lesotho, D 1-1 @ Lesotho, W 3-0 @ Grenada, D 1-1 v Estonia.
Estonia are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lithuania, W 1-0 v Faroe Islands, L 0-2 @ Rwanda, D 1-1 @ Kenya.
Their last 1 meetings are tight — 1 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Kenya 1-1 Estonia.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
