Where the market is wrong on Kyzyltash v Nart Cherkessk
Kyzyltash meet Nart Cherkessk in the Second League - Group 1 group 1 - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1492, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 47%. Attacking output favors Kyzyltash on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.2 per match.
Kyzyltash arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 13 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Nart Cherkessk, D 1-1 @ Druzhba, L 1-4 v Dynamo Makhachkala II, W 6-1 @ Izberbash.
Nart Cherkessk are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Kyzyltash, L 0-1 v Rubin Yalta, L 2-3 @ Shahter Taganrog, L 1-2 v Dinamo Stavropol.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kyzyltash 3-2 Nart Cherkessk.
The market prices KYZ at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
