San Marino v Finland: the model read
San Marino meet Finland in the UEFA Nations League 1.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Finland, 30% against 15%. Attacking output favors Finland on expected goals, 0.9 to 0.6 per match.
San Marino arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Azerbaijan, L 1-2 v Bangladesh, D 0-0 v Andorra, L 1-2 v Faroe Islands.
Finland are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Hungary, L 0-4 @ Germany, D 1-1 @ Cape Verde Islands, W 2-0 @ New Zealand.
Finland hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: San Marino 1-2 Finland.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output