Where the market is wrong on SHANGHAI SIPG v Beijing Guoan
SHANGHAI SIPG meet Beijing Guoan in the Super League regular season - 26 at Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai.
The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1684, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Beijing Guoan, 78% against 63%. Attacking output favors Beijing Guoan on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
SHANGHAI SIPG arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Shandong Luneng, W 1-0 @ Sichuan Jiuniu, W 2-1 v Qingdao Jonoon, D 1-1 v Dalian Zhixing.
Beijing Guoan are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Rizhao Yuqi, D 1-1 @ Dalian Zhixing, D 3-3 v Yunnan Yukun, W 3-0 @ Shanghai Shenhua.
The recent head-to-head is even, 4 apiece with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Beijing Guoan 2-2 SHANGHAI SIPG.
The market prices SHA at 42% implied. Our number sits apart on Beijing Guoan: a 9.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 76 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
