Operario-PR v Vila Nova: the model read
Operario-PR meet Vila Nova in the Serie B regular season - 24 at Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Vila Nova, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Operario-PR on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 50%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Vila Nova at 58%; double chance reads Operario-PR or draw 59%, Vila Nova or draw 71%.
Operario-PR arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Vila Nova, L 0-1 @ Cuiaba, L 1-2 v Avai, L 1-3 v São Bernardo.
Vila Nova are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 3 unbeaten), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Operario-PR, W 6-0 v Ponte Preta, W 2-0 @ Atletico Goianiense, L 0-1 v Sport Recife.
Vila Nova hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 0 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Operario-PR 0-0 Vila Nova.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
