Viimsi v Nõmme United II

Viimsi meet Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A regular season - 25 at Viimsi Staadion, Viimsi.

Viimsi rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1400. Recent form leans Viimsi, 63% against 33%. Attacking output favors Viimsi on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.6 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 72%, over 2.5 goals around 90%. Draw no bet leans Viimsi at 71%; double chance reads Viimsi or draw 78%, Nõmme United II or draw 47%.

Viimsi arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Nõmme United II, L 1-2 @ Flora II, W 5-0 v FCI Levadia II, W 4-1 @ Helios.

Nõmme United II are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Viimsi, D 1-1 @ FC Tallinn, W 2-0 v Nõmme Kalju II, L 1-2 v FCI Levadia II.

Viimsi hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Viimsi 4-1 Nõmme United II.

The market prices VII at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Nõmme United II: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.