Supra du Quebec v Forge: the model read
Supra du Quebec meet Forge in the Canadian Premier League group stage at CEPSUM Stadium, undefined.
Forge rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1489. Recent form leans Forge, 73% against 48%. Attacking output favors Supra du Quebec on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 65%. Draw no bet leans Forge at 65%; double chance reads Supra du Quebec or draw 53%, Forge or draw 75%.
Supra du Quebec arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Forge, D 1-1 @ York United, L 2-3 @ Forge, L 1-2 v Atlético Ottawa.
Forge are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Supra du Quebec, W 2-0 v Pacific FC, W 3-2 v Supra du Quebec, L 1-2 @ Cavalry FC.
Forge hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Supra du Quebec 1-0 Forge.
The market prices SUP at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 1.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output