Where the market is wrong on Inter Turku II v TPV
Inter Turku II meet TPV in the Ykkönen group stage at Veritas Stadion, Turku.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 38%. Attacking output favors Inter Turku II on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 76%, over 2.5 goals around 78%. Draw no bet leans TPV at 51%; double chance reads Inter Turku II or draw 63%, TPV or draw 65%.
Inter Turku II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v TPV, L 2-3 v KPV-j, L 0-1 @ PKKU, W 1-0 @ KuPS Akatemia.
TPV are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Inter Turku II, D 1-1 @ Tampere United, D 1-1 v SalPa, L 2-4 @ OLS.
Inter Turku II hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Inter Turku II 0-1 TPV.
The market prices INT at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
