Where the market is wrong on Afturelding v Vestri
Afturelding meet Vestri in the 1. Deild regular season - 21.
Afturelding rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1431. Recent form leans Afturelding, 78% against 38%. Attacking output favors Afturelding on expected goals, 3.0 to 1.1 per match.
Afturelding arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 16 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Vestri, W 2-0 v Grotta, W 7-0 @ Ægir, D 2-2 v HK Kopavogur.
Vestri are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Afturelding, W 2-0 v Leiknir R., L 0-2 @ Völsungur, W 1-0 v IR Reykjavik.
Afturelding hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Afturelding 2-0 Vestri.
The market prices AFT at 73% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 8.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
