Where the market is wrong on San Luis v Antofagasta
San Luis meet Antofagasta in the Primera B regular season - 26.
The baseline ratings are close, 1604 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 60%. Attacking output favors San Luis on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.8 per match.
San Luis arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Antofagasta, W 4-2 v Cobreloa, W 1-0 @ Deportes Iquique, L 0-1 v Santiago Wanderers.
Antofagasta are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ San Luis, D 0-0 v Cobreloa, L 1-2 v Recoleta, W 4-0 @ Deportes Copiapo.
San Luis hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 5 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: San Luis 2-1 Antofagasta.
The market prices SAN at 37% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
