Where the market is wrong on Räppe v Österlen
Räppe meet Österlen in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland södra götaland - 18.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1512, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Österlen, 50% against 30%. Attacking output favors Österlen on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.0 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Österlen at 61%; double chance reads Räppe or draw 57%, Österlen or draw 72%.
Räppe arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Österlen, L 1-5 @ Linero, L 0-3 v Berga, D 2-2 @ Karlshamn.
Österlen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Räppe, L 0-3 v Oskarshamns AIK, W 4-1 v Sölvesborg, W 2-0 @ Linero.
Österlen hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Räppe 1-1 Österlen.
The market prices RÄP at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
