Where the market is wrong on Gute v Lidingö
Gute meet Lidingö in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand norra svealand - 19.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Gute, 48% against 29%. Attacking output favors Gute on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Gute arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lidingö, W 4-1 @ Korsnäs, L 2-3 v Bollstanäs, L 0-1 @ Angby.
Lidingö are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Gute, L 1-3 v Enskede, L 0-3 v Viggbyholms IK, W 1-0 @ Kungsängen.
Gute hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gute 1-0 Lidingö.
The market prices GUT at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
