Where the market is wrong on Kumla v Motala
Kumla meet Motala in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland norra götaland - 21.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1420, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 38% against 40%. Attacking output favors Motala on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.8 per match.
Kumla arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 v Motala, D 0-0 v IFK Skövde, L 1-7 @ Ahlafors, L 2-6 v Husqvarna.
Motala are patchy: 0W-4D-1L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 0-0 @ Kumla, D 2-2 v Stenungsund, L 2-3 @ IFK Skövde, D 2-2 v IF Karlstad II.
Motala hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Kumla 0-0 Motala.
The market prices KUM at 30% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
