Lund v Olympic

Lund meet Olympic in the Ettan - Södra södra - 19 at Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund.

The baseline ratings are close, 1581 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lund, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Lund on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.9 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 82%, over 2.5 goals around 91%. Draw no bet leans Lund at 63%; double chance reads Lund or draw 72%, Olympic or draw 53%.

Lund arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 15 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 7-1 v Olympic, W 5-2 @ AFC Malmo, L 0-3 v Hässleholms IF, D 1-1 @ Skövde AIK.

Olympic are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Lund, L 3-4 v Tvååker, D 2-2 v AFC Malmo, L 0-2 @ Jonkopings Sodra.

Lund hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Lund 7-1 Olympic.

The market prices LUN at 53% implied. Our number sits apart on Olympic: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.