Where the market is wrong on Alingsås W v Trelleborg W
Alingsås W meet Trelleborg W in the Elitettan regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Trelleborg W, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Trelleborg W on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Alingsås W arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Trelleborg W, D 1-1 @ Gamla Upsala W, W 1-0 @ Enskede W, L 1-2 v Linköping W.
Trelleborg W are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 5 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Alingsås W, W 2-0 v Häcken II W, D 0-0 @ Sandviken W, D 2-2 v KIF Örebro W.
Trelleborg W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Alingsås W 0-1 Trelleborg W.
The market prices ALI at 27% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
