Where the market is wrong on Norrby IF v Sandviken
Norrby IF meet Sandviken in the Superettan regular season - 20.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1516, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Sandviken on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 61%. Draw no bet leans Sandviken at 54%; double chance reads Norrby IF or draw 62%, Sandviken or draw 67%.
Norrby IF arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Dalstorps, D 1-1 v Sandviken, L 0-2 @ Falkenbergs FF, W 3-1 v Orebro SK.
Sandviken are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Norrby IF, W 2-0 @ IF Karlstad, L 1-4 v IFK Norrkoping, W 1-0 @ Varbergs BoIS FC.
Their last 2 meetings are tight — 2 drawn. Most recently they met in 2026: Norrby IF 1-1 Sandviken.
The market prices NOR at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Sandviken: a 3.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
