Where the market is wrong on Viking II v Våg
Viking II meet Våg in the 3. Division - Girone 4 regular season - 21 at Lyse Arena, Stavanger.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Viking II, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Viking II on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.6 per match.
Viking II arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Våg, D 2-2 @ Staal Jørpeland, W 4-0 v Varhaug, W 3-1 v Stabæk II.
Våg are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Viking II, D 2-2 v Brodd, W 3-0 @ Haugesund II, W 3-2 v Åkra.
The recent head-to-head is even, 2 apiece across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Viking II 1-2 Våg.
The market prices VIK at 72% implied. Our number sits apart on Våg: a 13.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
