Where the market is wrong on IF Elfsborg v Degerfors IF
IF Elfsborg meet Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 19 at Borås Arena, Boras.
The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans IF Elfsborg, 60% against 40%. Attacking output favors IF Elfsborg on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
IF Elfsborg arrive surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts), 11 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Degerfors IF, D 1-1 @ IFK Goteborg, W 4-0 @ Västra Frölunda, W 3-0 v Vasteras SK FK.
Degerfors IF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IF Elfsborg, L 0-2 @ IF Brommapojkarna, W 5-1 @ IFK Östersund, W 3-0 v IFK Goteborg.
IF Elfsborg hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 3 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IF Elfsborg 2-0 Degerfors IF.
The market prices IF at 61% implied. Our number sits apart on Degerfors IF: a 11.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
