Where the market is wrong on Malmo FF v Djurgardens IF
Malmo FF meet Djurgardens IF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 18 at Eleda Stadion, Malmo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Djurgardens IF, 63% against 50%. Attacking output favors Djurgardens IF on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 73%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Djurgardens IF at 62%; double chance reads Malmo FF or draw 55%, Djurgardens IF or draw 72%.
Malmo FF arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v Djurgardens IF, W 1-0 @ Gais, L 1-2 v Degerfors IF, W 2-1 @ IF Brommapojkarna.
Djurgardens IF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Malmo FF, L 1-3 v AIK Stockholm, L 0-1 @ Vasteras SK FK, W 6-0 v Vasteras SK FK.
Malmo FF hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Malmo FF 0-3 Djurgardens IF.
The market prices MAL at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on Djurgardens IF: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 70 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
