Where the market is wrong on IF Brommapojkarna v Degerfors IF
IF Brommapojkarna meet Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan regular season - 18 at Grimsta IP, Stockholm.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors IF Brommapojkarna on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 60%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans IF Brommapojkarna at 53%; double chance reads IF Brommapojkarna or draw 67%, Degerfors IF or draw 63%.
IF Brommapojkarna arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Degerfors IF, W 3-1 v Orgryte IS, D 2-2 @ Sirius, L 1-2 v Malmo FF.
Degerfors IF are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 10 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ IF Brommapojkarna, W 5-1 @ IFK Östersund, W 3-0 v IFK Goteborg, W 2-1 @ Malmo FF.
Degerfors IF hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: IF Brommapojkarna 2-0 Degerfors IF.
The market prices IF at 47% implied. Our number sits apart on Degerfors IF: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
