Where the market is wrong on Las Vegas Lights v New Mexico United
Las Vegas Lights meet New Mexico United in the USL Championship group stage at Cashman Field, undefined.
New Mexico United rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1512. Recent form leans New Mexico United, 73% against 50%. Attacking output favors New Mexico United on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.1 per match.
Las Vegas Lights arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v New Mexico United, L 0-2 v Charleston Battery, L 0-2 @ Lexington, W 2-1 v Brooklyn.
New Mexico United are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Las Vegas Lights, L 1-2 v San Antonio, W 2-1 v Lexington, D 0-0 @ Loudoun United.
The market prices LAS at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on New Mexico United: a 17.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
