Boca Juniors v Lanus

Boca Juniors meet Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina clausura - 7 at Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires.

The baseline ratings are close, 1558 to 1466, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Boca Juniors, 57% against 43%. Attacking output favors Boca Juniors on expected goals, 1.4 to 0.7 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 25%, over 2.5 goals around 23%. Draw no bet leans Boca Juniors at 62%; double chance reads Boca Juniors or draw 75%, Lanus or draw 59%.

Boca Juniors arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 10 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Lanus, D 1-1 @ Racing Club, W 4-0 @ Deportivo Recoleta, D 1-1 @ Platense.

Lanus are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Boca Juniors, D 1-1 v Argentinos JRS, L 1-3 v Independiente, W 3-0 @ Talleres Cordoba.

Boca Juniors hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus.

The market prices BOC at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Lanus: a 4.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.