Where the market is wrong on CF Montreal v Charlotte
CF Montreal meet Charlotte in the Major League Soccer regular season - 24 at Saputo Stadium, Montreal.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 55%. Attacking output favors Charlotte on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.6 per match.
CF Montreal arrive steady: 1W-3D-1L from their last five (6/15 pts), 8 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-7 @ Inter Miami, D 2-2 v Los Angeles Galaxy, W 2-1 @ Columbus Crew, D 1-1 v DC United.
Charlotte are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 11 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Atlanta United FC, W 3-1 v DC United, D 3-3 @ Toronto FC, W 3-1 v Columbus Crew.
CF Montreal hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Charlotte 1-4 CF Montreal.
The market prices CF at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on Charlotte: a 5.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
