Wellington Phoenix v Western Sydney Wanderers: the model read
Wellington Phoenix meet Western Sydney Wanderers in the A-League regular season - 25 at Sky Stadium, Wellington.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Wellington Phoenix, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Wellington Phoenix on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
Wellington Phoenix arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Macarthur, W 2-1 v Western Sydney Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Melbourne City, W 1-0 @ Melbourne Victory.
Western Sydney Wanderers are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Melbourne Victory, L 4-6 @ Chelsea, W 2-0 @ Cooma Tigers FC, L 0-2 v Melbourne Victory.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Western Sydney Wanderers.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
