Morocco v Senegal

Morocco meet Senegal in the African Nations Championship semi-finals at Mandela National Stadium, Kampala.

The baseline ratings are close, 1698 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Morocco, 79% against 68%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 2.0 per match.

Morocco arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ France, W 3-0 @ Canada, D 1-1 @ Netherlands, W 4-2 v Haiti.

Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.

Morocco hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Morocco 1-1 Senegal.

Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.