SenegalUganda v Senegal: the model read
Uganda meet Senegal in the African Nations Championship quarter-finals at Mandela National Stadium, Kampala.
The baseline ratings are close, 1563 to 1650, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Senegal, 68% against 56%. Attacking output favors Senegal on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.6 per match.
Uganda arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Nigeria, D 1-1 v Tanzania, L 1-3 @ Tunisia, L 0-4 @ Morocco.
Senegal are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Belgium, W 5-0 v Iraq, L 2-3 @ Norway, L 1-3 @ France.
Uganda hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 1 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Uganda 0-1 Senegal.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
