Guatemala v Suriname: the model read
Guatemala meet Suriname in the World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF final round - 6 at Estadio Cementos Progreso, Guatemala City.
The baseline ratings are close, 1456 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 50%. Attacking output favors Suriname on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Guatemala arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 4 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Ecuador, L 1-3 @ Czechia, L 0-7 @ Algeria, L 0-1 @ Canada.
Suriname are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Bolivia, L 1-3 @ Guatemala, W 4-0 v El Salvador, D 1-1 @ Panama.
Guatemala hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Guatemala 3-1 Suriname.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
