Benfica v Chelsea: the model read
Benfica meet Chelsea in the FIFA Club World Cup 8th finals at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina.
Benfica rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1454. Recent form leans Benfica, 75% against 40%. Attacking output favors Benfica on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 89%. Draw no bet leans Benfica at 73%; double chance reads Benfica or draw 79%, Chelsea or draw 45%.
Benfica arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 19 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Aarhus, W 7-0 @ Casa Pia, D 1-1 @ Heart Of Midlothian, D 2-2 v Academico Viseu.
Chelsea are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 12 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Fulham, W 3-1 v Real Sociedad, D 3-3 @ Johor Darul Takzim FC, W 3-0 v AC Milan.
Chelsea hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Chelsea 1-0 Benfica.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 57 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
