Tajikistan v Philippines: the model read
Tajikistan meet Philippines in the Asian Cup - Qualification 3rd round - 6 at Pamir Stadium, Dushanbe.
The baseline ratings are close, 1577 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 61% against 63%. Attacking output favors Philippines on expected goals, 2.1 to 1.7 per match.
Tajikistan arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 5 unbeaten), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v India, W 3-1 v India, D 1-1 v Philippines, W 5-0 @ Timor-Leste.
Philippines are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Malaysia, L 0-1 v Thailand, W 4-1 @ Laos, L 1-4 v Myanmar.
Philippines hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tajikistan 1-1 Philippines.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
