Lorient v PAU: the model read
Lorient meet PAU in the Ligue 2 regular season - 29 at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient.
The baseline ratings are close, 1500 to 1458, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Lorient, 50% against 42%. Attacking output favors Lorient on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 58%. Draw no bet leans Lorient at 62%; double chance reads Lorient or draw 73%, PAU or draw 56%.
Lorient arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Estac Troyes, D 0-0 @ Nice, L 1-4 @ SV Elversberg, L 1-2 @ Angers.
PAU are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Rodez, L 0-1 v Nancy, W 1-0 @ Dijon, L 0-1 v Annecy.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Lorient 5-0 PAU.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
