Where the market is wrong on Jagiellonia v Suduva Marijampole
Jagiellonia meet Suduva Marijampole in the Friendlies Clubs club friendlies.
The baseline ratings are close, 1661 to 1662, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 70% against 74%. Attacking output favors Jagiellonia on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.7 per match.
Jagiellonia arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 v Suduva Marijampole, L 1-3 v Legia Warszawa, L 1-2 @ Olympiakos Piraeus, L 0-2 @ Wisla Krakow.
Suduva Marijampole are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-5 @ Jagiellonia, D 1-1 @ Hegelmann Litauen, D 0-0 v FK Zalgiris Vilnius, L 1-5 @ Kauno Žalgiris.
Jagiellonia hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Jagiellonia 5-0 Suduva Marijampole.
The market prices JAG at 51% implied. Our number sits apart on Suduva Marijampole: a 8.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
