Where the market is wrong on Mombasa Elite v Kariobangi Sharks
Mombasa Elite meet Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League final.
Mombasa Elite rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1604 to 1477. Recent form leans Mombasa Elite, 63% against 48%. Attacking output favors Kariobangi Sharks on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Mombasa Elite arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 4 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Kariobangi Sharks, D 1-1 @ Naivas, W 1-0 v Nzoia Sugar, L 0-1 @ Luanda Villa.
Kariobangi Sharks are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 12 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Mombasa Elite, W 6-0 v Sofapaka, D 1-1 @ Police, D 2-2 v Homeboyz.
The market prices MOM at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 61 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output